Compiègne vs Lens II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.2%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
68.1%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
8º
13º
9º
47
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
47 | 50 |
2º
|
85.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
85.5% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 43 |
5º
|
73.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 39 |
6º
|
33% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
36 | 37 |
9º
|
6.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
20.5% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
39% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 19 |
13º
|
39% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
45% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
55% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Compiègne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
ESL
0 - 2
COM
46%
22%
31%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
COM
1 - 0
AMI
32%
25%
43%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
LIL
2 - 1
COM
67%
19%
14%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
COM
3 - 3
CHA
34%
24%
43%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
FEI
2 - 1
COM
70%
18%
12%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Lens II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
LEN
6 - 1
USM
68%
20%
13%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
IRI
2 - 0
LEN
19%
23%
58%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
LEN
0 - 0
LON
88%
8%
4%
|
47 | 22 | 25 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
FEI
1 - 3
LEN
30%
26%
45%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
LEN
4 - 1
ESL
77%
15%
8%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |