Como vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
+3
6.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.6%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
22.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 1984 |
ARZ
1 - 0
COM
41%
31%
28%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1984 |
COM
2 - 1
CAV
56%
28%
16%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 May. 1984 |
LEC
1 - 0
COM
48%
30%
21%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 May. 1984 |
COM
1 - 1
USC
50%
30%
20%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1984 |
SSS
0 - 0
COM
42%
32%
26%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 1984 |
TRI
3 - 2
FCC
56%
25%
19%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1984 |
PES
0 - 0
TRI
44%
27%
29%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1984 |
TRI
1 - 2
ATL
58%
26%
16%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 May. 1984 |
ARZ
1 - 0
TRI
37%
29%
33%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 May. 1984 |
TRI
0 - 0
EMP
59%
24%
17%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |