Como vs Cosenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
20.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2015 |
COM
1 - 2
BV5
48%
26%
27%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
USC
1 - 0
COM
43%
26%
31%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
POR
2 - 5
COM
22%
27%
51%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
REN
0 - 1
COM
27%
28%
45%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
COM
0 - 0
ASS
69%
20%
11%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Cosenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
NUO
0 - 0
FCS
59%
23%
18%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
VIG
0 - 1
NUO
27%
27%
46%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
MES
0 - 0
NUO
25%
25%
51%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
NUO
1 - 0
LEC
13%
23%
64%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
JUS
1 - 1
NUO
61%
22%
17%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |