Como vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.3%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
59%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.7%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
COM
1 - 1
CRO
29%
26%
45%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
USC
2 - 0
COM
63%
22%
15%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
COM
1 - 1
REG
35%
29%
36%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
VIC
0 - 1
COM
41%
26%
32%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
COM
0 - 1
PIS
21%
25%
54%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
LEC
2 - 1
VIC
79%
14%
7%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
LEC
2 - 1
USC
63%
21%
17%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2022 |
ROM
3 - 1
LEC
79%
14%
8%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
POR
0 - 1
LEC
19%
25%
56%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2021 |
SPE
0 - 2
LEC
43%
25%
33%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |