Como vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
17.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.1%
31.2%
Draw
0-0
15.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
31.2%
23.2%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1985 |
USC
2 - 0
COM
52%
28%
20%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1985 |
COM
0 - 0
SAM
26%
33%
41%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1985 |
ASC
1 - 0
COM
63%
23%
14%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1985 |
COM
0 - 0
INT
21%
30%
49%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1985 |
UDI
4 - 1
COM
71%
19%
10%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1985 |
LAZ
1 - 1
ATL
61%
24%
16%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1985 |
LAZ
1 - 1
ROM
30%
30%
40%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 1985 |
USC
1 - 1
LAZ
52%
27%
21%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1985 |
LAZ
0 - 0
TOR
31%
32%
37%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1985 |
NAP
4 - 0
LAZ
60%
25%
16%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | -1 |