Como vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
19.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28.5%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
14%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
0
27.5%
15%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1975 |
FCC
1 - 0
COM
46%
30%
24%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1975 |
COM
1 - 0
REG
65%
24%
11%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1975 |
PRG
0 - 0
COM
49%
29%
22%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1975 |
COM
2 - 1
BRI
67%
23%
10%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1975 |
PAL
1 - 0
COM
48%
29%
23%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1975 |
VER
0 - 0
GEN
67%
22%
11%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1975 |
GEN
2 - 1
PES
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1975 |
GEN
0 - 0
TAR
65%
23%
12%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1975 |
PAL
0 - 0
GEN
61%
26%
14%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1975 |
GEN
2 - 0
BRI
69%
21%
10%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |