Como vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
44.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
USC
2 - 0
COM
63%
22%
15%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
COM
1 - 1
REG
35%
29%
36%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
VIC
0 - 1
COM
41%
26%
32%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
COM
0 - 1
PIS
21%
25%
54%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2021 |
CTT
2 - 2
COM
63%
22%
15%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
CRO
4 - 1
POR
52%
25%
24%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2021 |
UDI
4 - 0
CRO
64%
20%
16%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2021 |
USC
3 - 2
CRO
55%
24%
21%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
CRO
1 - 2
SPA
43%
27%
30%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2021 |
TER
1 - 0
CRO
52%
24%
25%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |