Como vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
20.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1960 |
CAT
2 - 1
COM
59%
24%
17%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1960 |
MES
0 - 1
COM
49%
28%
23%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 1960 |
COM
0 - 1
MAN
57%
23%
20%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 1960 |
TRI
1 - 0
COM
67%
21%
13%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1960 |
COM
0 - 1
VER
55%
24%
22%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1960 |
BRE
0 - 0
SSS
58%
23%
19%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1960 |
VNZ
1 - 1
BRE
62%
22%
16%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 1960 |
BRE
0 - 0
LEC
48%
26%
26%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1960 |
BRE
2 - 2
REG
47%
26%
27%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1960 |
CAG
2 - 2
BRE
51%
26%
23%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |