Comerciário vs Maranhão analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.7%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
70.5%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
13.8%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.5%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comerciário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
CFC
1 - 1
IMP
26%
24%
51%
|
20 | 43 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2005 |
CFC
3 - 1
CFC
73%
15%
12%
|
20 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2005 |
SSI
3 - 2
CFC
48%
23%
29%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2005 |
CFC
1 - 0
IMP
30%
24%
46%
|
17 | 41 | 24 | +3 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
CFC
0 - 1
SAM
9%
15%
76%
|
17 | 54 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
Maranhão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
MAR
3 - 2
QUI
77%
15%
8%
|
54 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2005 |
MAR
0 - 2
IMP
70%
17%
12%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2005 |
MAR
1 - 1
MOT
32%
24%
43%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2005 |
SAM
2 - 0
MAR
43%
25%
33%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2005 |
MAR
2 - 1
SSI
84%
11%
5%
|
56 | 18 | 38 | 0 |