Comerciantes Unidos vs Sport Victoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
15.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comerciantes Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2014 |
UNI
1 - 1
COM
46%
27%
27%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
COM
0 - 0
AUN
47%
26%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
LOS
0 - 0
COM
30%
28%
42%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
COM
4 - 1
WAL
57%
25%
19%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
DEF
1 - 1
COM
42%
27%
31%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Sport Victoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2014 |
SPO
0 - 0
ALF
34%
29%
37%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
GAL
1 - 1
SPO
60%
21%
19%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
SPO
0 - 0
ATL
45%
26%
30%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
WIL
2 - 0
SPO
56%
25%
20%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -3 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
SPO
1 - 1
MUN
44%
27%
29%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |