Comercial vs Palmeiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.8%
20%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20%
68%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.9%
0-3
9%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
MOG
2 - 1
COM
71%
18%
11%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
COM
1 - 1
SER
56%
23%
21%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2013 |
FER
1 - 1
COM
43%
27%
30%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
SAO
1 - 0
COM
31%
28%
42%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2013 |
COM
0 - 1
INT
52%
24%
24%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
PAL
2 - 1
LIN
77%
17%
7%
|
80 | 56 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
CHA
1 - 0
PAL
31%
27%
42%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
PAL
4 - 1
CEA
56%
25%
19%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
PAL
3 - 0
BOA
74%
19%
7%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2013 |
PAY
1 - 0
PAL
16%
24%
60%
|
80 | 57 | 23 | 0 |