Comercial vs Lemense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
15.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
OES
0 - 0
COM
57%
24%
19%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
COM
2 - 1
POR
34%
27%
40%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
NOV
2 - 0
COM
75%
17%
9%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2023 |
PRI
2 - 0
COM
35%
28%
37%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
COM
0 - 0
LIN
40%
26%
34%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lemense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
RIO
3 - 0
LEM
62%
21%
17%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2023 |
LEM
3 - 2
NOV
7%
13%
80%
|
36 | 62 | 26 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
LIN
3 - 2
LEM
68%
19%
13%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2023 |
LEM
3 - 1
VEL
12%
18%
70%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | +2 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
TAU
3 - 0
LEM
63%
20%
17%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | -1 |