Comercial vs Inter de Limeira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
20.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2008 |
COM
2 - 0
CAT
48%
25%
27%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
POR
0 - 1
COM
47%
24%
29%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
COM
2 - 1
MON
44%
25%
32%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2008 |
BOT
2 - 1
COM
65%
19%
16%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
OES
1 - 1
COM
56%
22%
22%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Inter de Limeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2008 |
MOG
2 - 1
INT
70%
18%
12%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
INT
1 - 4
AME
52%
24%
24%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
RIO
0 - 1
INT
58%
22%
20%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2008 |
INT
2 - 2
SAO
34%
24%
42%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
INT
0 - 2
ATL
32%
24%
45%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | -1 |