Comercial MS vs Operário MT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
25.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comercial MS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
CAL
1 - 2
COM
65%
22%
13%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
OPE
2 - 0
COM
49%
25%
27%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
COM
0 - 1
CAL
27%
30%
44%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
COM
1 - 1
APA
25%
26%
49%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
RIO
2 - 1
COM
56%
23%
21%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Operário MT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
OPE
2 - 3
RIO
34%
25%
41%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
OPE
2 - 0
COM
49%
25%
27%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
RIO
3 - 1
OPE
60%
22%
17%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
CAL
0 - 0
OPE
67%
21%
12%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2015 |
OPE
2 - 3
APA
27%
27%
46%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | -2 |