Comercial MS vs Costa Rica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.6%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.9%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.3%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
71.8%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
14.8%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22%
0-3
10.2%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.8%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comercial MS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2023 |
COM
0 - 1
CHA
23%
23%
55%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
COX
0 - 0
COM
53%
22%
26%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 1
COM
59%
22%
19%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
COS
2 - 0
COM
72%
18%
10%
|
32 | 50 | 18 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
COM
0 - 1
COX
27%
22%
51%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Costa Rica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
COS
3 - 0
OPE
45%
26%
30%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
CHA
3 - 4
COS
20%
24%
56%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
COS
1 - 0
COX
64%
20%
16%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
COS
2 - 0
COM
72%
18%
10%
|
50 | 32 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
OPE
0 - 1
COS
36%
25%
39%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |