Comercial PI vs Penapolense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
45.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comercial PI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
RBB
4 - 3
CAC
67%
19%
14%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
CAC
0 - 1
OEI
62%
22%
17%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2009 |
OEI
1 - 0
CAC
24%
24%
52%
|
47 | 29 | 18 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
CAC
1 - 0
PAR
45%
25%
30%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
CAC
2 - 1
CAI
67%
20%
13%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Penapolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
GRÊ
1 - 2
PEN
79%
14%
7%
|
51 | 73 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
AUD
3 - 1
PEN
51%
23%
26%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
PEN
1 - 2
GRE
54%
23%
24%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
PEN
1 - 1
XVD
37%
25%
38%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
XVD
2 - 2
PEN
59%
22%
19%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | +1 |