Copa do Brasil . 1/32
Global 2-7
Comercial PI vs Palmeiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.5%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
61.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
16.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.2%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Comercial PI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2010 |
CAC
2 - 1
FLA
54%
24%
22%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2010 |
FLA
2 - 2
CAC
30%
26%
44%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2010 |
CAC
3 - 2
BAR
52%
25%
23%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2010 |
BAR
2 - 2
CAC
30%
26%
44%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2010 |
PAR
1 - 1
CAC
25%
25%
50%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
MOG
0 - 0
PAL
17%
26%
57%
|
82 | 57 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
PAL
1 - 0
GUA
74%
17%
9%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
PAL
0 - 1
COR
44%
27%
29%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2011 |
MIR
0 - 1
PAL
20%
24%
56%
|
82 | 60 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
POR
0 - 2
PAL
37%
27%
36%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |