Colwyn Bay vs Ilkeston Town FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
34.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colwyn Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2005 |
STO
0 - 1
COL
38%
25%
37%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
ROU
1 - 1
COL
36%
25%
39%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2005 |
SPA
1 - 4
COL
36%
25%
39%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2005 |
COL
1 - 5
OSS
57%
22%
21%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -2 |
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
SHE
2 - 2
COL
42%
24%
34%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ilkeston Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
WIL
2 - 1
ILK
54%
23%
23%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2005 |
BEL
0 - 0
ILK
32%
25%
43%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2005 |
ILK
1 - 0
SPA
73%
17%
11%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
ROU
1 - 0
ILK
20%
23%
57%
|
40 | 19 | 21 | -2 |
| 15 Mar. 2005 |
KID
1 - 1
ILK
32%
25%
44%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | -1 |