Welsh Premier League Temporada Regular. Jor. 17

Colwyn Bay vs Connah's Quay analysis

Colwyn Bay Connah's Quay
53 ELO 66
19.2% Tilt 11.2%
3414º General ELO ranking 1460º
21º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
24.6%
Colwyn Bay
25.8%
Draw
49.7%
Connah's Quay

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.6%
Win probability
Colwyn Bay
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
49.7%
Win probability
Connah's Quay
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Colwyn Bay
-18%
+13%
Connah's Quay

Points and table prediction

Colwyn Bay
Their league position
Connah's Quay
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
12º
12º
47
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
The New Saints
62
82
100%
Connah's Quay
47
59
89.5%
Bala Town
37
49
33%
Penybont
28
48
34%
Newtown
33
47
25.5%
Cardiff MU
34
46
22%
Caernarfon Town FC
31
43
21%
Haverfordwest County
28
42
23%
Barry Town
23
34
37%
Pontypridd United
12º
13
33
10º
38.5%
Aberystwyth Town
10º
15
27
11º
48%
Colwyn Bay
11º
14
25
12º
68.5%
Expected probabilities
Colwyn Bay
Connah's Quay
Play-offs for the title
0% 100%
Relegation play-offs
100% 0%

ELO progression

Colwyn Bay
Connah's Quay
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Colwyn Bay
Colwyn Bay
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Nov. 2023
COL
Colwyn Bay
2 - 1
Penybont
PEN
21%
24%
55%
52 66 14 0
19 Nov. 2023
PON
Pontypridd United
0 - 3
Colwyn Bay
COL
54%
23%
23%
50 55 5 +2
11 Nov. 2023
NEW
Newtown
1 - 1
Colwyn Bay
COL
75%
16%
9%
50 66 16 0
04 Nov. 2023
HAV
Haverfordwest County
5 - 0
Colwyn Bay
COL
58%
22%
20%
51 58 7 -1
31 Oct. 2023
TNS
The New Saints
6 - 1
Colwyn Bay
COL
85%
10%
5%
51 67 16 0

Matches

Connah's Quay
Connah's Quay
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Nov. 2023
CON
Connah's Quay
1 - 2
Haverfordwest County
HAV
59%
23%
18%
67 59 8 0
10 Nov. 2023
CON
Connah's Quay
8 - 0
Prestatyn Town
PRE
83%
12%
4%
66 36 30 +1
04 Nov. 2023
CAR
Cardiff MU
3 - 1
Connah's Quay
CON
45%
27%
28%
67 67 0 -1
27 Oct. 2023
CON
Connah's Quay
6 - 1
Caernarfon Town FC
CAE
49%
25%
26%
67 61 6 0
21 Oct. 2023
PON
Pontypridd United
0 - 3
Connah's Quay
CON
24%
27%
49%
67 56 11 0
X