Colwyn Bay vs Chasetown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.3%
33.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colwyn Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
TRA
0 - 0
COL
65%
19%
16%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
OUF
6 - 0
COL
46%
22%
32%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
MOS
3 - 2
COL
45%
23%
31%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2018 |
COL
1 - 2
KID
47%
22%
31%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
COL
3 - 3
NEW
68%
18%
14%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Chasetown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
NEW
5 - 2
CHA
29%
24%
48%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2018 |
CHA
0 - 2
TRA
44%
24%
32%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -2 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
CHA
2 - 2
SKE
67%
18%
15%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
CHA
2 - 1
LIN
31%
23%
47%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +2 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
RAM
2 - 2
CHA
40%
23%
37%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |