Colwyn Bay vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.4%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
8%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.4%
6.1%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
82
1º
7º
1º
43
4º
13º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
82 | 85 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
65 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
50% | |
|
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
50% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 35 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 31 |
11º
|
49% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 28 |
12º
|
63.5% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 16 |
15º
|
68% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
68% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colwyn Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2023 |
COL
2 - 0
GRE
83%
12%
5%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
COL
4 - 2
LLA
87%
10%
3%
|
53 | 30 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
AAA
1 - 2
COL
7%
14%
79%
|
54 | 29 | 25 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2023 |
COL
5 - 2
BUC
80%
13%
7%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2023 |
PRE
2 - 3
COL
15%
20%
65%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2023 |
CEF
0 - 2
GUI
40%
24%
37%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
MOL
3 - 4
CEF
38%
21%
41%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
BUC
5 - 0
CEF
39%
24%
38%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -3 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
LLA
1 - 2
CEF
25%
21%
55%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 2023 |
CEF
0 - 1
GRE
66%
18%
16%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -1 |