Colwyn Bay vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.4%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
8%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.4%
6.1%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
82
1º
7º
1º
43
4º
13º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
82 | 85 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
65 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
50% | |
|
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
50% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 35 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 31 |
11º
|
49% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 28 |
12º
|
63.5% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 16 |
15º
|
68% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
68% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colwyn Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2023 |
COL
2 - 0
GRE
83%
12%
5%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
COL
4 - 2
LLA
87%
10%
3%
|
51 | 27 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
AAA
1 - 2
COL
7%
14%
79%
|
51 | 26 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2023 |
COL
5 - 2
BUC
80%
13%
7%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2023 |
PRE
2 - 3
COL
15%
20%
65%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2023 |
CEF
0 - 2
GUI
40%
24%
37%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
MOL
3 - 4
CEF
38%
21%
41%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
BUC
5 - 0
CEF
39%
24%
38%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -2 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
LLA
1 - 2
CEF
25%
21%
55%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2023 |
CEF
0 - 1
GRE
66%
18%
16%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |