Colorado Springs Switchback vs Real Monarchs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
54.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colorado Springs Switchback
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
NMU
1 - 2
COL
77%
15%
8%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2020 |
EPL
2 - 1
COL
76%
15%
9%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2020 |
MON
4 - 1
COL
73%
17%
11%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
COL
0 - 0
OKC
39%
26%
35%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
COL
1 - 1
NMU
16%
21%
63%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Real Monarchs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
EPL
1 - 0
MON
52%
24%
24%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2020 |
MON
1 - 2
POR
78%
14%
8%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
MON
0 - 2
NMU
50%
23%
27%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2020 |
MON
4 - 1
COL
73%
17%
11%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
MON
1 - 0
TAC
72%
16%
12%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | +1 |