Torneo Federal B qualifying rounds 1/16
Global 2-2
Colonial vs El Linqueño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.2%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
23.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colonial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
LIN
0 - 2
COL
49%
22%
29%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
COL
0 - 2
MAM
12%
25%
63%
|
27 | 72 | 45 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
COL
3 - 1
VBJ
23%
21%
56%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | +3 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
CHA
1 - 1
COL
22%
20%
58%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2021 |
MAM
2 - 3
COL
74%
17%
9%
|
24 | 72 | 48 | +1 |
Matches
El Linqueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
LIN
0 - 2
COL
49%
22%
29%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2021 |
LIN
2 - 0
RIV
28%
25%
47%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +2 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
AJM
1 - 3
LIN
42%
23%
35%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2021 |
RIV
2 - 0
LIN
73%
17%
11%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
LIN
1 - 1
AJM
56%
21%
23%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |