Köln Sub 15 vs MSV Duisburg Sub 15 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.2%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
11.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln Sub 15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
FOR
0 - 1
COL
40%
22%
38%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
COL
2 - 0
PAD
80%
12%
7%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
COL
4 - 1
PRE
87%
9%
4%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
COL
1 - 1
FKO
78%
13%
9%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2016 |
COL
1 - 2
LEV
59%
19%
22%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg Sub 15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
BVB
4 - 0
DUI
89%
8%
3%
|
14 | 37 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
DUI
1 - 1
FOR
33%
22%
45%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
PAD
2 - 0
DUI
21%
20%
59%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
S04
1 - 1
DUI
80%
13%
8%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
DUI
1 - 0
RWE
85%
11%
5%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | -1 |