Köln Sub 15 vs Fortuna Düsseldorf Sub 15 analysis


19	ELO	17
2.2%	Tilt	0.9%
45483º	General ELO ranking	45490º
2314º	Country ELO ranking	2321º
ELO win probability

54.7%

Köln Sub 15

20.7%

Draw

24.7%

Fortuna Düsseldorf Sub 15

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

54.7%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%

20.7%

Draw

0-0

2.9%

1-1

8.7%

2-2

6.5%

3-3

2.2%

4-4

0.4%

5-5

<0%

20.7%

24.7%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%