Colombier vs Dürrenast analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.5%
21.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colombier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
COL
1 - 1
SEC
47%
23%
30%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
THI
0 - 0
COL
52%
21%
26%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
COL
2 - 2
ROM
50%
22%
28%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
GUM
1 - 4
COL
40%
23%
38%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
ALL
3 - 3
COL
60%
20%
20%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Dürrenast
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2013 |
DUR
2 - 2
TPA
38%
24%
38%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
FCL
2 - 3
DUR
66%
18%
16%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
DUR
0 - 1
LAU
19%
22%
60%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
POR
5 - 2
DUR
50%
22%
28%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
DUR
0 - 2
LYS
23%
22%
55%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | -1 |