Sudamericano U20 First Stage Round 3

Colombia U20 vs Ecuador U20 analysis

Colombia U20 Ecuador U20
72 ELO 60
1.2% Tilt -11.3%
1212º General ELO ranking 2959º
27º Country ELO ranking 30º
ELO win probability
64.1%
Colombia U20
20.1%
Draw
15.9%
Ecuador U20

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.1%
Win probability
Colombia U20
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
15.9%
Win probability
Ecuador U20
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Colombia U20
+16%
-17%
Ecuador U20

ELO progression

Colombia U20
Ecuador U20
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Colombia U20
Colombia U20
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Jan. 2025
ARG
Argentina U20
1 - 1
Colombia U20
COL
53%
25%
23%
72 79 7 0
12 Jan. 2025
COL
Colombia U20
2 - 2
Perú U20
PER
71%
18%
11%
72 57 15 0
09 Jan. 2025
COL
Colombia U20
3 - 1
Perú U20
PER
70%
18%
12%
72 57 15 0
21 Dec. 2024
COL
Colombia U20
0 - 0
Venezuela U20
VEN
72%
17%
10%
72 57 15 0
18 Dec. 2024
COL
Colombia U20
2 - 0
Venezuela U20
VEN
71%
18%
11%
72 58 14 0

Matches

Ecuador U20
Ecuador U20
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Jan. 2025
BOL
Bolivia U20
1 - 2
Ecuador U20
ECU
18%
22%
61%
60 46 14 0
20 Dec. 2024
PER
Perú U20
2 - 2
Ecuador U20
ECU
33%
25%
42%
60 57 3 0
17 Dec. 2024
PER
Perú U20
0 - 0
Ecuador U20
ECU
33%
25%
42%
60 57 3 0
19 Nov. 2024
ECU
Ecuador U20
1 - 2
Colombia U20
COL
25%
24%
51%
61 71 10 -1
15 Nov. 2024
ECU
Ecuador U20
1 - 2
Colombia U20
COL
27%
25%
49%
62 71 9 -1