Clausura Finals Quarter-finals
Global 6-4
Colo-Colo vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.2%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
18.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colo-Colo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
UCO
1 - 2
COL
38%
24%
38%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
COL
1 - 2
PAL
68%
19%
12%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
CSL
0 - 2
COL
37%
25%
38%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
COL
2 - 1
COB
56%
23%
21%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2009 |
USF
2 - 1
COL
28%
24%
47%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
UCO
1 - 2
COL
38%
24%
38%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2009 |
USF
2 - 0
UCO
40%
25%
35%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
UCO
4 - 1
UCO
57%
23%
20%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
UCO
1 - 1
NUB
58%
23%
19%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2009 |
UNI
0 - 1
UCO
23%
22%
55%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |