Apertura Finals Semi-finals
Global 6-3
Colo-Colo vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.8%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
12.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colo-Colo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2006 |
UCO
3 - 4
COL
38%
24%
38%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2006 |
COL
5 - 0
UNI
65%
19%
17%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2006 |
UNI
0 - 4
COL
37%
24%
39%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2006 |
UCO
3 - 2
COL
36%
25%
39%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2006 |
COL
3 - 0
ANT
76%
16%
8%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2006 |
UCO
3 - 4
COL
38%
24%
38%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2006 |
UCO
2 - 0
ACS
58%
22%
20%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2006 |
UCO
3 - 2
COL
36%
25%
39%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2006 |
ACS
1 - 2
UCO
48%
25%
27%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2006 |
UCO
1 - 1
UCO
43%
27%
30%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |