Colo-Colo vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.1%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
30.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colo-Colo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2023 |
UCO
0 - 0
COL
40%
24%
35%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
COQ
2 - 2
COL
24%
27%
50%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
EVE
1 - 2
COL
31%
27%
42%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
COL
1 - 0
PAL
52%
24%
24%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
COL
3 - 1
HUA
59%
24%
17%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2023 |
UCO
0 - 0
COL
40%
24%
35%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
PAL
3 - 0
UCO
44%
25%
31%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2023 |
UCO
0 - 0
EVE
52%
23%
25%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
UCO
0 - 2
ACS
56%
24%
20%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
CSL
2 - 2
UCO
39%
26%
35%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |