Copa Libertadores Quarter-finals
Global 4-3
Colo-Colo vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.7%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
20.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colo-Colo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1997 |
UCO
2 - 1
COL
59%
22%
19%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1997 |
COL
1 - 2
NAC
59%
22%
19%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1997 |
NAC
1 - 3
COL
49%
26%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 1997 |
MIN
1 - 2
COL
26%
29%
45%
|
80 | 53 | 27 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1997 |
MIN
1 - 4
COL
40%
29%
31%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1997 |
UCO
2 - 1
COL
59%
22%
19%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1997 |
OPE
1 - 5
UCO
33%
27%
41%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 May. 1997 |
UCO
4 - 0
OPE
68%
19%
13%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1997 |
MIN
1 - 0
UCO
10%
21%
69%
|
78 | 52 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1997 |
MIN
1 - 1
UCO
33%
26%
41%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |