Colmar vs Red Star analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
15.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colmar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2011 |
FCR
1 - 1
COL
55%
25%
20%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
COL
2 - 1
FRE
32%
28%
41%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
VAN
3 - 1
COL
62%
22%
16%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2011 |
COL
4 - 1
LPS
50%
27%
24%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2011 |
LUS
0 - 3
COL
55%
26%
20%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Red Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2011 |
RED
0 - 2
GAZ
30%
29%
41%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2011 |
ASB
4 - 2
RED
72%
18%
10%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
RED
0 - 1
QUE
30%
28%
42%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2011 |
ORL
2 - 1
RED
60%
24%
16%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
RED
1 - 2
BAY
43%
29%
28%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |