Colima vs Mineros de Fresnillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
19.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2021 |
NAY
3 - 2
COL
49%
27%
24%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
COL
2 - 1
LEO
68%
19%
13%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
COR
0 - 0
COL
31%
26%
43%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
EST
1 - 1
COL
29%
28%
44%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
COL
1 - 2
MAZ
61%
22%
17%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Mineros de Fresnillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2021 |
MIN
1 - 1
EST
48%
25%
27%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
MAZ
0 - 0
MIN
47%
25%
28%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
MIN
0 - 0
GAV
23%
26%
51%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
CAT
3 - 0
MIN
17%
20%
63%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | -2 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
MIN
0 - 1
TRI
58%
22%
20%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |