NIFL Premiership Round 14

Coleraine vs Ards FC analysis

Coleraine Ards FC
72 ELO 59
1.3% Tilt 6.8%
1549º General ELO ranking 2524º
Country ELO ranking 17º
ELO win probability
71.6%
Coleraine
18.1%
Draw
10.3%
Ards FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.6%
Win probability
Coleraine
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.1%
10.3%
Win probability
Ards FC
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Coleraine
+8%
+2%
Ards FC

ELO progression

Coleraine
Ards FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Coleraine
Coleraine
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Dec. 1996
CRU
Crusaders
1 - 1
Coleraine
COL
46%
25%
29%
72 70 2 0
21 Dec. 1996
COL
Coleraine
1 - 1
Portadown
POR
59%
22%
19%
72 68 4 0
10 Dec. 1996
COL
Coleraine
1 - 1
Glenavon
GLE
59%
22%
19%
72 69 3 0
07 Dec. 1996
GLE
Glentoran
1 - 0
Coleraine
COL
46%
24%
30%
72 68 4 0
30 Nov. 1996
COL
Coleraine
0 - 1
Cliftonville
CLI
72%
18%
10%
72 58 14 0

Matches

Ards FC
Ards FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Jan. 1997
GLE
Glentoran
0 - 0
Ards FC
ARD
70%
19%
12%
59 68 9 0
26 Dec. 1996
ARD
Ards FC
0 - 2
Cliftonville
CLI
60%
22%
18%
60 58 2 -1
21 Dec. 1996
GLE
Glenavon
2 - 1
Ards FC
ARD
70%
19%
12%
60 69 9 0
07 Dec. 1996
ARD
Ards FC
0 - 0
Crusaders
CRU
46%
26%
28%
60 70 10 0
30 Nov. 1996
POR
Portadown
0 - 1
Ards FC
ARD
73%
17%
11%
59 69 10 +1