Colegiales vs El Porvenir analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
22.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colegiales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
LAF
0 - 0
COL
42%
29%
29%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2007 |
FEN
3 - 2
COL
48%
27%
25%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
COL
4 - 3
VSC
69%
19%
13%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
CAÑ
0 - 1
COL
31%
27%
42%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
COL
6 - 1
SMA
66%
20%
14%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
El Porvenir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
POR
1 - 0
BAR
44%
27%
29%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2007 |
POR
1 - 0
SMG
60%
23%
17%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
POR
2 - 1
JJU
41%
26%
33%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
DAL
0 - 0
POR
44%
29%
27%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
SBA
0 - 0
POR
50%
25%
25%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |