Colegiales vs Excursionistas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
22.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colegiales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2017 |
MOR
1 - 0
COL
62%
23%
15%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2017 |
COL
0 - 0
TAL
62%
22%
16%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2017 |
ACA
1 - 1
COL
37%
29%
35%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2017 |
COL
0 - 1
COM
44%
27%
29%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
ATL
1 - 1
COL
57%
24%
19%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Excursionistas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
EXC
0 - 0
ACA
47%
27%
27%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
COM
5 - 0
EXC
48%
28%
23%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
EXC
1 - 3
ATL
27%
27%
47%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2017 |
EST
2 - 2
EXC
59%
24%
17%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
EXC
1 - 1
SUA
42%
27%
31%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |