Colegiales vs Def. Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
27.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colegiales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 3
COL
57%
25%
19%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
COL
1 - 1
ACA
55%
25%
20%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
RIE
2 - 4
COL
42%
27%
31%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2015 |
COL
1 - 2
EST
28%
28%
44%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
ALM
0 - 1
COL
55%
25%
20%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2015 |
DEF
2 - 1
FLA
50%
30%
21%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
ATL
2 - 1
DEF
52%
25%
23%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
DEF
0 - 0
COM
39%
29%
31%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
ESP
0 - 3
DEF
36%
29%
35%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
DEF
1 - 0
ALM
33%
30%
37%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |