Colchester United vs Plymouth Argyle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
32.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
BAR
1 - 0
COL
47%
25%
29%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2003 |
COL
0 - 1
QPR
36%
26%
38%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
WYC
0 - 0
COL
45%
24%
30%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2003 |
COL
0 - 5
LUT
42%
25%
33%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
CAR
0 - 3
COL
62%
21%
16%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Plymouth Argyle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
PLY
2 - 2
GRI
57%
24%
19%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2003 |
PLY
1 - 0
WYC
60%
23%
17%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
NOR
2 - 2
PLY
32%
29%
39%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2003 |
SWI
2 - 0
PLY
42%
27%
31%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
PLY
3 - 0
POR
63%
22%
15%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +1 |