Colchester United vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
18.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2020 |
COL
0 - 1
WHU
66%
19%
16%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
BAR
1 - 1
COL
35%
28%
38%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
COL
2 - 0
BOL
65%
21%
14%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
BRA
0 - 0
COL
34%
27%
39%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2020 |
OPA
2 - 0
COL
67%
19%
14%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
OLD
2 - 3
CRA
43%
26%
32%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2020 |
OLD
4 - 0
WOL
60%
20%
20%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
STE
3 - 0
OLD
33%
27%
40%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2020 |
MOR
1 - 0
OLD
35%
25%
41%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
OLD
0 - 1
LEY
48%
25%
27%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |