Colchester United vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
24.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2000 |
SWA
0 - 2
COL
54%
26%
20%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2000 |
COL
0 - 1
QPR
34%
25%
41%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2000 |
COL
0 - 1
ROT
45%
25%
30%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2000 |
SWI
0 - 0
COL
55%
23%
22%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2000 |
BRE
0 - 0
COL
44%
26%
31%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2000 |
OLD
1 - 4
POS
56%
25%
20%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2000 |
OLD
1 - 0
HUR
36%
26%
38%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2000 |
WAL
3 - 2
OLD
57%
24%
19%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2000 |
OLD
4 - 1
POR
50%
25%
25%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2000 |
LUT
1 - 1
OLD
57%
23%
20%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |