Colchester United vs Harrogate Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
36.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2020 |
COL
1 - 0
FOR
49%
26%
25%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
CUM
3 - 2
COL
38%
27%
36%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
WAL
1 - 1
COL
43%
27%
30%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
COL
3 - 3
OLD
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2020 |
COL
0 - 1
WHU
66%
19%
16%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Harrogate Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2020 |
GRI
1 - 2
TOW
27%
27%
46%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
TOW
1 - 0
BAR
61%
22%
17%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2020 |
BRA
0 - 1
TOW
31%
26%
43%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
TOW
3 - 1
LEI
56%
20%
24%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
TOW
1 - 2
BOL
73%
17%
10%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | -1 |