Colchester United vs Carlisle United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
19.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2019 |
MUD
3 - 0
COL
77%
17%
7%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
SCU
2 - 2
COL
41%
27%
32%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
COL
1 - 0
SAL
48%
26%
27%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2019 |
COL
1 - 2
STE
64%
22%
14%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
CHE
1 - 1
COL
47%
25%
28%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
CUM
0 - 0
GRI
60%
21%
19%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2019 |
CUM
1 - 0
FOR
30%
23%
47%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +2 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
MOR
1 - 1
CUM
31%
25%
44%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
FOR
2 - 2
CUM
59%
23%
19%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
CUM
0 - 0
CAM
54%
23%
23%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |