Cognac vs Trelissac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
53.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cognac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
NIO
1 - 1
COG
71%
18%
11%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
COG
2 - 1
ROD
35%
25%
40%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | +2 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
TOF
5 - 2
COG
53%
24%
23%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -2 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
COG
0 - 1
ANG
21%
26%
53%
|
33 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
COG
2 - 0
LSS
60%
22%
19%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Trelissac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
TRE
2 - 2
TAR
56%
23%
21%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
BLA
2 - 1
TRE
17%
23%
60%
|
51 | 29 | 22 | -2 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
TRE
0 - 0
BER
62%
22%
17%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
TRE
0 - 2
NIO
62%
22%
17%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
ROD
3 - 1
TRE
19%
24%
56%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | 0 |