Cobresol vs Cienciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
14.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cobresol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
SPC
1 - 1
COB
46%
27%
27%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
COB
0 - 1
ALI
71%
19%
10%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
ALI
0 - 0
COB
55%
25%
20%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
COB
2 - 2
SBO
67%
21%
13%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
MEL
1 - 2
COB
33%
28%
39%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Cienciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
CIE
2 - 1
AYA
53%
24%
24%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
CIE
2 - 2
COM
49%
25%
26%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
SPC
1 - 0
CIE
57%
24%
20%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
CIE
4 - 0
ALI
61%
22%
18%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
ALI
2 - 0
CIE
63%
22%
15%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |