Coastal Spirit vs Waimakariri United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.6%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.5%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.5%
7.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coastal Spirit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2022 |
NSF
2 - 2
COA
56%
20%
24%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
COA
0 - 4
CAS
7%
14%
79%
|
26 | 51 | 25 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2022 |
COA
2 - 2
SUF
71%
16%
13%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2022 |
FER
2 - 2
COA
21%
20%
59%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
COA
3 - 2
GIA
41%
22%
38%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Waimakariri United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2022 |
OBO
0 - 10
WMK
41%
22%
37%
|
6 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
WMK
0 - 3
COA
10%
15%
75%
|
7 | 32 | 25 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
WMK
2 - 3
WAF
24%
21%
55%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |