Coastal Spirit vs Universities AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.7%
Win probability
3.16
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.1%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.1%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.7%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
9.7%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.7%
4.6%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-92%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
2º
5º
2º
11
6º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 14 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
11 | 11 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 1 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coastal Spirit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
COA
3 - 1
CAS
9%
14%
77%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
FCT
0 - 7
COA
8%
13%
80%
|
23 | 7 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
COA
2 - 1
DUN
68%
17%
15%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
COA
3 - 0
FCT
77%
14%
9%
|
23 | 7 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
CHR
2 - 3
COA
86%
10%
5%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Universities AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2024 |
FER
2 - 1
UOC
68%
18%
15%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
UOC
1 - 1
NOM
14%
17%
69%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
FCT
1 - 6
UOC
45%
21%
34%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
WMK
0 - 1
UOC
63%
19%
19%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | +2 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
UOC
0 - 7
CAS
4%
7%
89%
|
7 | 39 | 32 | 0 |