CSE vs Sergipe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
29.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2022 |
LAG
3 - 3
CSE
36%
29%
35%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
CSE
3 - 3
JAC
23%
26%
51%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
SDJ
1 - 1
CSE
60%
24%
16%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
CSE
0 - 1
CRB
10%
20%
70%
|
42 | 70 | 28 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2022 |
CSA
0 - 0
CSE
87%
10%
3%
|
41 | 74 | 33 | +1 |
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2022 |
ASA
1 - 0
SER
45%
27%
29%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
SER
1 - 1
SDJ
32%
26%
42%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
JAC
1 - 1
SER
54%
27%
20%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
SER
1 - 1
FFC
65%
20%
16%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2022 |
FFC
1 - 2
SER
26%
24%
50%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | +1 |