Guará vs Operário MT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
15.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1979 |
ITA
0 - 0
GUA
40%
27%
33%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1979 |
GAM
2 - 0
GUA
41%
27%
32%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 1979 |
ATL
3 - 0
GUA
45%
26%
30%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1979 |
FLU
1 - 1
GUA
29%
28%
43%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
BRA
1 - 0
GUA
41%
27%
32%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Operário MT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1979 |
ITU
1 - 0
OPE
41%
28%
32%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1979 |
OPE
1 - 4
ITA
61%
23%
16%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1979 |
OPE
0 - 0
GAM
57%
24%
19%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1979 |
MIX
4 - 3
OPE
58%
24%
19%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1979 |
OPE
1 - 0
FLU
67%
21%
13%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | +1 |