12 de Octubre vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
36.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
12 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
PET
2 - 1
12O
55%
26%
20%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
SPT
1 - 2
12O
50%
27%
24%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
12O
2 - 2
2DE
51%
24%
25%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2007 |
NAC
0 - 0
12O
65%
21%
14%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
12O
0 - 3
LIB
33%
28%
39%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2008 |
ARS
1 - 0
LIB
54%
25%
21%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
LIB
3 - 1
2DE
68%
21%
12%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2007 |
LIB
2 - 0
LQE
54%
23%
23%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
LQE
1 - 1
LIB
42%
27%
31%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2007 |
LIB
1 - 0
TAC
57%
23%
20%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | -2 |