12 de Octubre vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.3%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
45.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
12 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2022 |
NAC
1 - 0
12O
64%
23%
14%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
12O
1 - 2
TEM
81%
13%
6%
|
67 | 42 | 25 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
12O
0 - 2
AME
33%
27%
41%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2022 |
12O
0 - 1
CCP
30%
27%
43%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
12O
1 - 0
RES
36%
27%
38%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
GUA
0 - 1
RES
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2022 |
LIB
0 - 0
GUA
51%
25%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
JLM
3 - 0
GUA
33%
27%
40%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2022 |
GUA
2 - 1
OLI
40%
25%
36%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2022 |
GUA
2 - 1
AME
68%
18%
14%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |